Winners and Losers - Performance by Industry MARCH 2009

Tire and Jewlrey beat Crops and Medical Supplies.

I give up at trying to predict the market.  

On 09 MAR 2009, the Dow hit a low of 6547, the lowest since December 1996, over 12 years ago. Since then the Dow has seen a recovery for March to as high as 7800.

I was curious to see which industries rebounded the quickest.  

So I pulled the date from Google Finance from 02 - 27 MAR 09.

My gut instinct was that high-end retailers would still feel the brut force of a sluggish economy, while manufacturing and mining would see a boost as investors look for an opportunity to get in early on the recovery in the commodities industries.

At the time, I decided to buy heathcare, gold and silver, with the thought of new attention from the Obama heathcare reform initiative, and fear of inflation from the Feds recent aggressive moves to lower interest rates.

The results. . . 

I'm now more puzzled than ever.  My GLD, OCR, and SLV moves turned out to underperform relative to the S&P 500.  The only moves that I feel like I could have predicted were the boosts in Iron and Steel and Rental and Leasing Services, and the drops in Tobacco and Gambling.  Pretty much everything else seemed like a crapshoot.

Anyone care to interpret?

By Sector

Change Sector

15.27% Basic Materials

14.26% Technology
14.00% Finance
13.74% Conglomerates
12.18% Capital Goods
11.93% Consumer Cyclical
11.74% Transportation

11.00%  S&P 500

9.36% Energy
5.37% Healthcare
5.32% Services

2.12% Utilities
-0.13% Consumer Non-Cyclical

By Industry

Change Industry Sector

41.92% Tires Consumer Cyclical

38.96% Textiles - Non Appare Consumer Cyclical
32.99% Jewelry and Silverware Consumer Cyclical
30.82% Mobil Homes & RVs Capital Goods
28.96% Rental and Leasing Services
27.96% Photography Consumer Cyclical
27.87% Chemicals - Plastics and Rubber Basic Materials
26.71% Furniture and Fixtures Consumer Cyclical
26.21% Construction & Agricultural Machinery Capital Goods
24.21% Retail - Technology Services
22.58% Appliance and Tools Consumer Cyclical
22.01% Insurance (Life) Financial
21.73% Metal Mining Basic Materials
21.10% Retail (Apparel) Services
20.57% Computer Hardware Technology
20.28% Semiconductors Technology
18.78% Iron and Steel Basic Materials
18.37% Apparel and Accessories Consumer Cyclical
17.87% Construction - Services Capital Goods
17.82% Insurance (Miscellaneous) Financial
17.73% Banks - Money Centers Financial
17.69% Air Courier Transportation
16.92% Investment Services Financial
16.37% Trucking Transportation
16.07% Motion Picture Services
16.01% Computer Peripherals Technology
15.89% Electronic Instrument and Controls Technology
15.86% Construction - Supplies and Fixtures Capital Goods
15.57% Retail - Specialty Services
15.09% Retail - Home Improvements Services
14.92% Computer Storage Devices Technology
14.53% Forestry and Wood Products Basic Materials
14.43% Banks - Regional Financial
14.26% Technology [Services] Services
14.18% Auto and Truck Parts Consumer Cyclical
13.74% Conglomerates Conglomerates
13.27% Communications Equipment Technology
12.85% Printing Services Services
12.21% Insurance (Property and Casualty) Financial
12.15% Container and Packaging Basic Materials
12.08% Recreational Activities Services
12.05% Railroads Transportation
11.97% Footwear Consumer Cyclical
11.97% Software and Programming Technology
11.96% Oil and Gas - Operations Energy
11.92% Security Systems and Services Services
11.84% Consumer Financial Services Financial
11.74% Transportation [Services] Services
11.55% Misc Fabricated Products Basic Materials
11.38% Recreational Products Consumer Cyclical
11.28% Fabricated Plastics and Rubber Basic Materials
11.25% Audio and Visual Equipment Consumer Cyclical

11.00% S&P 500

10.82% Computer Networks Technology
10.80% Aerospace and Defense Capital Goods
10.59% Restaurants Services
9.94% Fish and Livestock Consumer Non Cyclical
9.94% Retail - Department and Discount Services
9.82% Misc Capital Goods Capital Goods
9.61% Chemical Manufacturing Basic Materials
9.41% Insurance (Accidental and Health) Financial
9.14% Gold and Silver Basic Materials
8.88% Oil and Gas - Integrated Energy
8.75% Airline Transportation
8.71% Banks - S&L Financial
8.68% Paper and Paper Products Basic Materials
8.58% Office Supplies Consumer Non Cyclical
8.46% Auto and Truck Manufacturers Consumer Cyclical
8.06% Coal Energy
7.91% Oil Well Service and Equipment Energy
7.88% Office Equipment Technology
7.09% Retail - Grocery Services
6.95% Hotels and Motels Services
6.71% Computer Service Technology
6.58% Casino and Gaming Services
6.57% Personal Services Services
6.48% Misc Transportation Transportation
6.46% Waste Management Services Services
6.15% Miscellaneous Financial Services Financial
6.15% Scientific and Technical Instruments Technology
5.95% Biotechnology and Drugs Healthcare
5.65% Major Drugs Healthcare
4.62% Retail - Drugs Services
4.58% Communications Services Services
4.42% Business Services Services
4.41% Medical Equipment and Supplies Healthcare
4.13% Construction - Raw Materials Capital Goods
3.89% Natural Gas Utilities Utilities
3.81% Schools Services
3.62% Non-Metallic Mining Basic Materials
3.37% Water Transportation Transportation
3.27% Water Utilities Utilities
2.87% Advertising Services
2.73% Real Estate Operations Services
2.43% Printing and Publishing Services
2.12% Utilities [Services] Services
2.08% Beverages (Alcoholic) Consumer Non Cyclical
1.84% Personal and Household Products Consumer Non Cyclical
1.70% Food Processing Consumer Non Cyclical
1.67% Electric Utilites Utilities
-0.02% Healthcare Facilities Healthcare
-2.47% Tobacco Consumer Non Cyclical
-3.87% Crops Consumer Non Cyclical
-4.51% Beverages (Non-Alcoholic) Consumer Non Cyclical
-12.31% Broadcasting and Cable TV Services