Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Stuart Lyon's Predictions for 2009 . . .

COPIED FROM "SCRIBBLIN" BY STUART LYONS

Fincials.

Sell the FTSE for the 1st 3 months of the new year.... We'll see sub 4000 again.
Sell the USD against Rand and Euro till the end of time.
Coca prices will fall this year... that Irvory coast productionwill come back online. Besides its the only big market that is up this year so there has to be hot money in it.
Bonds will provide capital growth and Stocks Income.....
Value investing is back Baby!
Never say "I want to be an investment banker.,...The good times are so over"

Economics
Defaltion wont be a problem.
All stimulus packets will do fuck all except waste shit loads of money.
One economy in the world will default on debt....Russia, Iran, Argentina, Venezuala are my bets? (Anyone got any CDS's please)
The green back is so not the currecny of last reserve.

Politics
This year will be the begining of the end of Gordon Brown. He is going to be remebered by history as a one of the worst prime ministers ever.... Bring back Blair please.
Barack Obama will be thwarted at every turn by a slow moving, unambitious and tired congress and senete...He's going to be even more dissapointed then you are.

War on Terror...
We still wont be able to find Osama....
For some reason Guantnomo bay wont be shut down in the new year.....
India might just be able to sort out all the shit in Pakistan... I hope so.
We'll pull out of Iraq and the whole thing will collapse...everyone will say I told you so and there will be an immense feeling of Schadenfreude in the press and society towards Iraq in general.
Afghanistan will become the second military distater of our generation.....Churchill had two rules on how not to lose a war......"Never invade Russia in the Winter....And never invade Afghanistan at all"

Sport.
Premiship is going to change massivley noone has any money
Formual 1 is fucked.


Saving is BACK! To be in debt will be embarrasing again... not just a bit of Banter.

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